Watson Institute for International and Public Affairs
China Initiative

Taiwan’s 2024 Elections: Lessons Learned and What Lies Ahead

Thursday, February 8, 2024

11:45am – 1:00pm

McKinney Conference Room, 111 Thayer Street

Taiwan held its presidential and legislative elections on January 13, 2024. The ruling Democratic Progressive Party won another term in power as its presidential candidate Lai Ching-Te defeated the divided oppositions, but the party lost its majority in the parliament. Given its tense relations with China, Beijing’s long-term ambitions and military preparations to “unite” Taiwan, as well as the rising U.S.-China strategic rivalry, the future of Taiwan after this election is among the most widely watched and discussed geo-political events of 2024.

In this presentation Paul Huang, a veteran Taiwan pollster and policy analyst will discuss the implications of this election and provide his projection for what future lies ahead for Taiwan. He will also discuss issues in Taiwan’s defense preparedness and how its success or failure might determine the outcome of U.S.-China relations.

Paul Huang is an independent journalist and a Research Fellow at the Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation. He has contributed research, reporting, and commentaries to various publications, media, and institutions on issues of politics, security and the risk of war across the Taiwan Strait. Huang frequently appears on international media giving expert commentary on political events unfolding in Taiwan its surrounding region. He is currently a visiting fellow at the Fairbank Center for Chinese Studies at Harvard University. Huang is a graduate of the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University.